PolyBot

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Traders

0xd998e24447d0aedca15010ef7b3abe84f39e0eb2

0xd998e24447d0aedca15010ef7b3abe84f39e0eb2

Realised P&L
$-8.12
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$106.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? · Yes0.4120.395$60.04−$2.62
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? · Yes0.5910.340$34.68−$25.63
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.4760.470$11.28−$0.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.9200.000$0.00−$48.81
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.3830.000$0.00−$118.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 01:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.95$47.50
10-09 01:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.8940550944$46.50
10-09 01:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.9$45.00
10-08 22:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.88$41.36
10-08 22:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.8319844333$39.10
10-08 21:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETBUY0.86$30.96
10-08 16:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.3828855538$118.42
10-08 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.86$112.66
10-08 09:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.9$109.80
10-08 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.85$38.25
10-07 19:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.92$48.81
10-07 16:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.8949544002$117.90
10-07 16:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.96$9.60
10-07 16:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.8299999995$112.14
10-07 15:49Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETSELL0.3216131077$50.74