PolyBot

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Traders

0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095

0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$7.02M
Markets traded
725
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded725
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0530.029$484.26−$402.47
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1080.115$356.23+$20.37
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? · No0.4620.420$289.80−$28.90
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.8100.805$241.50−$1.50
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0480.047$176.68−$3.72
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · No0.9170.915$137.25−$0.25
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? · Yes0.1320.200$124.05+$42.46
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2950.355$117.35+$19.87
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5000.525$105.00+$5.00
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? · No0.4400.435$87.00−$1.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? · No0.9700.970$77.60+$0.00
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027? · No0.7500.725$72.50−$2.50
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? · No0.4100.325$65.00−$17.00
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0430.058$57.50+$14.70
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? · No0.5700.575$57.50+$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:45Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?BUY0.42$42.00
11-01 20:26US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.65$153.54
11-01 20:26US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?SELL0.75$28.84
11-01 20:25US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?SELL0.9571134302$143.53
11-01 19:09Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$19.22
11-01 17:52US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.036$36.00
11-01 16:08Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?BUY0.13$104.00
11-01 16:07Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.0026356833$3.16
10-31 16:59Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.002$3.00
10-30 22:06Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.0024238909$5.33
10-30 22:06Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.00478786$14.36
10-30 11:19Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0109340253$2.01
10-30 11:19Another GTA VI trailer released by November 30?SELL0.22$0.24
10-30 09:53Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.0049828579$69.31
10-29 23:49US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?SELL0.265141256$103.14