PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095

0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d

Realised P&L
$12.2k
Volume
$6.09M
Markets traded
574
Open portfolio
$7.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded574
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2670.205$1.2k$353.49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0840.075$1.0k$119.00
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.915$640.50+$10.50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August? · Yes0.0890.055$587.98$361.53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1280.115$563.50$65.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2020.195$546.47$22.24
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2650.200$529.19$172.03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0600.055$351.92$31.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.1360.090$321.56$164.37
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1080.120$265.41+$26.14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1520.110$264.00$100.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? · Yes0.0480.045$194.04$12.00
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1100.130$172.70+$26.57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? · Yes0.5100.285$170.94$135.06
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.1220.095$166.22$47.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:17Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026?BUY0.13$5.20
08-02 20:14Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026?BUY0.193$38.60
08-02 20:14Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026?BUY0.14$1.36
08-02 20:14Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026?BUY0.13$1.12
08-02 19:11Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026?BUY0.13$5.20
08-02 18:58Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0744117603$98.00
08-02 18:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.64$220.39
08-01 20:24Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.09$450.00
08-01 20:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.27$1.1k
08-01 09:27Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026?BUY0.21$1.94
07-31 21:44Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.038$38.00
07-31 21:39Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.14$420.00
07-31 21:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.2506674092$146.29
07-31 21:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.260125$208.10
07-31 21:07Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.0095176281$1.65