0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095
0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d
- Realised P&L
- $10.1k
- Volume
- $6.56M
- Markets traded
- 611
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded611
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.9kat 0.557Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$6.8kat 0.340Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$5.9kat 0.218Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$4.2kat 0.154Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?
- +$3.4kat 0.070Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.195 | $83.07 |
| 09-15 13:14 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.076 | $3.80 |
| 09-15 13:13 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.0449598154 | $58.45 |
| 09-15 13:13 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.0358823529 | $3.05 |
| 09-15 10:49 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.0195344654 | $12.79 |
| 09-15 07:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | SELL | 0.00185901 | $1.86 |
| 09-14 07:10 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $75.00 |
| 09-14 07:08 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 09-10 22:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 09-09 22:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $90.00 |
| 09-08 22:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $420.00 |
| 09-08 22:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $210.00 |
| 09-08 22:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.1284206 | $192.63 |
| 09-08 22:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.49 | $980.00 |
| 09-08 21:58 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $500.00 |