PolyBot

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Traders

0x6992D56559Dd30b5B5D0F5cA3D5427F9e94e6c1d-1760272837095

0x6992d56559dd30b5b5d0f5ca3d5427f9e94e6c1d

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$6.56M
Markets traded
611
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded611
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0760.065$1.9k$337.98
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1750.161$1.7k$152.68
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.0540.055$901.92+$18.02
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1230.085$769.41$348.39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1190.065$436.15$360.29
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0630.065$423.61+$13.43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · Yes0.2680.175$240.63$127.53
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0650.077$237.28+$38.46
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0490.044$192.39$17.32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1430.125$187.50$27.50
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1080.075$161.98$71.67
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1100.115$115.00+$5.00
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0810.065$88.19$21.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · Yes0.1950.091$38.77$44.30
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.4900.340$34.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.195$83.07
09-15 13:14Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.076$3.80
09-15 13:13Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0449598154$58.45
09-15 13:13Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0358823529$3.05
09-15 10:49Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0195344654$12.79
09-15 07:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?SELL0.00185901$1.86
09-14 07:10Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.15$75.00
09-14 07:08Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.49$49.00
09-10 22:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15?BUY0.11$110.00
09-09 22:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.15$90.00
09-08 22:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$420.00
09-08 22:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$210.00
09-08 22:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.1284206$192.63
09-08 22:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.49$980.00
09-08 21:58Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.05$500.00