PolyBot

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Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.640. up 0.375 over the period, from 0.265. Range 0.025 to 0.707. 130 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.69955
0.700127132
0.71020152
0.73685237
0.7376243
0.80050293
0.80175368
0.80265433
0.8037440
0.8067447
0.80916463
0.8127470

Spread0.118Mid0.640

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5814343
0.580200243
0.54738281
0.47120301
0.36460361
0.26040401
0.01127428
0.0105433
0.00520453
0.00425478
0.00310,14710,625
0.00222010,845

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4194343
0.420200243
0.45338281
0.52920301
0.63660361
0.74040401
0.98927428
0.9905433
0.99520453
0.99625478
0.99710,14710,625
0.99822010,845

Spread0.118Mid0.360

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.30155
0.300127132
0.29020152
0.26485237
0.2636243
0.20050293
0.19975368
0.19865433
0.1977440
0.1947447
0.19116463
0.1887470

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
molodoyyYes470.51
1in1000Yes300.28
chaosj88Yes179.67
monoclithYes127.28
rocky42016Yes117
hokinadoYes21.46
simmmyYes5
0x11b7…4b0fYes4.54
SuSuDORISNo352.67
0xa5ef…2966No287.1
tradetosurvive1No209.21
youtube-traderNo60
AJSVNo57.14
FihdrzgddNo50
WarriorHNo38
GuyFromTinderNo34.19
0xE7F967cB27867F05883d4C42F830EeC46beC4b09-1720271999568No25
0x4629…f3b1No22.03
bullbull88No20
pmqianbaolaileNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:15:08BUYYes0.58199968112$1.00
05:15:08BUYYes0.58240$23.28
04:02:38SELLYes0.70620$14.12
03:48:53BUYNo0.2920$5.80
03:47:26BUYNo0.34399999115$5.22
20:32:06BUYYes0.58340$23.32
10:35:31BUYYes0.5661761339114$64.29
09:32:12BUYNo0.35898520$7.18
09:29:25BUYNo0.33720$6.74
09:29:25SELLYes0.6636$4.26
09:29:25SELLYes0.67334$223.78
09:29:24BUYNo0.33420$6.68
21:19:00SELLNo0.33120$6.62
21:18:45SELLNo0.334920$6.70
20:14:48BUYNo0.35116$5.69
20:09:42BUYNo0.34820$6.96
20:08:15SELLNo0.36820$7.36
20:08:13SELLNo0.37820$7.56
19:40:36SELLNo0.36880$29.44
19:18:42BUYYes0.4745205479438$207.84
09:34:45SELLYes0.43129$55.47
09:19:06SELLNo0.56220$11.28
08:12:20BUYYes0.43977$33.80
06:56:57SELLNo0.57120$11.42
06:56:56SELLNo0.581150$87.15