0xE7F967cB27867F05883d4C42F830EeC46beC4b09-1720271999568
0xe7f967cb27867f05883d4c42f830eec46bec4b09
- Realised P&L
- $-833.06
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $72.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.445 | $22.25 | +$11.75 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes | 0.881 | 0.912 | $18.25 | +$0.63 |
| Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy) · Yes | 0.380 | 0.525 | $10.50 | +$2.90 |
| Will Éloïse Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election? · No | 0.500 | 0.440 | $8.80 | −$1.20 |
| Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No | 0.760 | 0.340 | $6.80 | −$8.40 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.130 | 0.110 | $4.40 | −$0.80 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.107 | 0.087 | $1.75 | −$0.39 |
| Lakers vs. Cavaliers · Lakers | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$436.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$831.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$202.40at 0.499Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$124.03at 0.630Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
- +$90.00at 0.850Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
- +$4.02at 0.330S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
- +$-36.90at 0.510Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:00 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.512 | $2.4k |
| 01-28 23:34 | Lakers vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4 | $436.00 |
| 01-28 23:30 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.24 | $831.04 |
| 01-28 23:27 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.4k |
| 10-05 08:18 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.499 | $1000.00 |