hokinado
0xffee18b118b9ea6c3062a4ce3aabd51cbcdaea6b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $95.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,162
- Open portfolio
- $119.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,162
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.78at 0.250CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?
- +$60.62at 0.100Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?
- +$40.18at 0.180Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?
- +$39.58at 0.120Will Alan Campbell be in the Burnham cabinet?
- +$38.39at 0.188Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.01 |
| 09-25 06:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3499999738 | $2.67 |
| 09-25 06:56 | Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane? | BUY | 0.259999988 | $5.22 |
| 09-25 06:55 | No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by October 15? | BUY | 0.4699999918 | $10.30 |
| 09-25 06:09 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.74 | $21.50 |
| 09-25 06:09 | Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 09-24 22:57 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.6199999889 | $19.05 |
| 09-24 22:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.00 |
| 09-24 22:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.64 | $21.61 |
| 09-24 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.21 |
| 09-24 20:00 | Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $6.03 |
| 09-24 18:44 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.89 |
| 09-24 18:44 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-24 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.65 | $0.01 |
| 09-24 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3499999906 | $9.27 |