Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.70. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.64. Range 0.64 to 0.72. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	2,018	2,018
0.72	1,578	3,596
0.73	2,486	6,082
0.74	168	6,249
0.75	530	6,779
0.76	808	7,587
0.77	1,283	8,871
0.78	139	9,009
0.79	200	9,209
0.80	350	9,559
0.81	200	9,759
0.82	500	10,259

Spread0.01Mid0.70

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	1,188	1,188
0.69	2,518	3,706
0.68	6,757	10,463
0.67	908	11,371
0.66	165	11,536
0.65	175	11,711
0.64	452	12,164
0.63	340	12,504
0.62	661	13,165
0.61	505	13,669
0.60	1,780	15,449
0.57	1,288	16,737

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	1,188	1,188
0.31	2,518	3,706
0.32	6,757	10,463
0.33	908	11,371
0.34	165	11,536
0.35	175	11,711
0.36	452	12,164
0.37	340	12,504
0.38	661	13,165
0.39	505	13,669
0.40	1,780	15,449
0.43	1,288	16,737

Spread0.01Mid0.29

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	2,018	2,018
0.28	1,578	3,596
0.27	2,486	6,082
0.26	168	6,249
0.25	530	6,779
0.24	808	7,587
0.23	1,283	8,871
0.22	139	9,009
0.21	200	9,209
0.20	350	9,559
0.19	200	9,759
0.18	500	10,259

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
EvanCross	Yes	2,196.9
Ru386	Yes	1,550.36
stakezilla	Yes	1,408.45
0x3564…5cff	Yes	1,293.03
xingaze	Yes	1,195.88
0xdb3c…833e	Yes	1,134.43
MWM	Yes	1,021.45
Red781RuM	Yes	999.99
molodoyy	Yes	907.58
alwayslatetotheparty	Yes	864.9
pleasedontstopthemusic	Yes	797.85
balthazar	Yes	757.35
JackIsGambling	Yes	736.95
0x877eb9F4931D9183cB1638a2DAeb6ACe96D85f22-1770586412360	Yes	616.2
CryptoBizzi2	Yes	574.73
bmtr	Yes	571.49
donthackme	Yes	511.74
vtx	Yes	500
DidYKH	Yes	484.49
elexa	Yes	458.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:36:27	BUY	Yes	0.71	145	$103.23
00:53:23	BUY	Yes	0.7099994391	1	$1.00
23:37:32	BUY	Yes	0.71	10	$7.10
23:13:39	SELL	Yes	0.7	217	$152.17
22:11:42	BUY	Yes	0.7099995917	2	$1.20
21:49:17	BUY	Yes	0.7099994391	1	$1.00
19:20:35	BUY	Yes	0.7099998694	7	$5.00
18:12:32	BUY	Yes	0.7099999918	28	$20.00
17:30:53	BUY	Yes	0.7099998694	7	$5.00
16:14:14	BUY	Yes	0.7199999862	69	$50.00
16:03:09	BUY	Yes	0.7199999741	28	$20.00
15:35:54	SELL	Yes	0.7	40	$28.00
15:35:53	BUY	No	0.2910367171	278	$80.85
11:38:33	BUY	Yes	0.72	168	$121.30
09:59:15	SELL	Yes	0.71	3	$2.20
09:35:35	BUY	Yes	0.72	500	$360.00
09:32:14	BUY	Yes	0.72	39	$28.39
08:46:26	BUY	Yes	0.72	330	$237.60
07:35:56	BUY	Yes	0.7299999679	7	$5.00
07:12:23	BUY	Yes	0.7299999909	16	$12.00
06:42:29	BUY	No	0.28	17	$4.76
06:42:15	BUY	No	0.28	160	$44.80
06:42:09	BUY	No	0.28	10	$2.80
06:42:00	BUY	No	0.28	30	$8.40
06:20:23	SELL	No	0.26	54	$14.04