PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Anhedonia100

0x0243eeb75e3347d16907d96781e1b70ecf614ce7

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$43.8k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 16:53Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?BUY0.6739335983$100.00
10-17 01:05Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.4645679003$1000.00
10-16 21:41Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999998$100.00
10-16 21:32Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?BUY0.1492347944$64.00
10-16 21:09Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.997484187$1.3k
10-14 23:30Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.3595529091$340.00
10-14 23:29Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.7653881053$1.0k
10-14 22:17Nothing Ever Happens: 2026SELL0.1707425585$1.4k
09-25 19:45Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.1728191054$464.00
09-25 19:45Trump meets with Putin by December 31?SELL0.2194819979$464.09
09-20 19:44Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.2$4.00
09-04 02:39Trump meets with Putin by December 31?BUY0.4729296971$1000.00
09-04 02:38Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.1896984696$1000.00
09-04 02:37Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?SELL0.9875411611$2.0k
09-03 17:02Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.0682811938$95.99