Anhedonia100
0x0243eeb75e3347d16907d96781e1b70ecf614ce7
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $43.8k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.134Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$743.81at 0.687NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$293.72at 0.772Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?
- +$190.22at 0.401Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$81.29at 0.217GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 16:53 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.6739335983 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 01:05 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.4645679003 | $1000.00 |
| 10-16 21:41 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 21:32 | Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.1492347944 | $64.00 |
| 10-16 21:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.997484187 | $1.3k |
| 10-14 23:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.3595529091 | $340.00 |
| 10-14 23:29 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7653881053 | $1.0k |
| 10-14 22:17 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | SELL | 0.1707425585 | $1.4k |
| 09-25 19:45 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.1728191054 | $464.00 |
| 09-25 19:45 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.2194819979 | $464.09 |
| 09-20 19:44 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-04 02:39 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.4729296971 | $1000.00 |
| 09-04 02:38 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.1896984696 | $1000.00 |
| 09-04 02:37 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.9875411611 | $2.0k |
| 09-03 17:02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0682811938 | $95.99 |