Ditto321
0x30c16e063c3be66d93acf14c06e2741e348f9f91
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $8.17M
- Markets traded
- 605
- Open portfolio
- $16.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded605
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes | 0.668 | 0.665 | $5.4k | −$21.50 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.583 | 0.875 | $3.8k | +$1.3k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.668 | 0.665 | $3.6k | −$15.98 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.775 | $2.6k | +$83.33 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.805 | $768.44 | +$8.05 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.130 | $28.07 | −$28.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.1kat 0.408Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$39.8kat 0.599Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$20.0kat 0.200Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
- +$19.5kat 0.350Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala
- +$17.7kat 0.220Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $2.1k |
| 09-17 04:01 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.0332652945 | $294.79 |
| 09-17 03:42 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.6k |
| 09-17 03:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7965672538 | $760.38 |
| 09-17 03:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $2.5k |
| 09-17 00:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.7k |
| 09-16 16:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $83.93 |
| 09-16 12:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $102.58 |
| 09-15 22:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2172324867 | $1.7k |
| 09-15 20:51 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $2.9k |
| 09-15 20:43 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.7466256116 | $44.25 |
| 09-15 20:37 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.7404022526 | $184.06 |
| 09-15 20:35 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 09-15 20:18 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $22.14 |
| 09-15 20:13 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.74 | $25.30 |