Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.85. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.81. Range 0.80 to 0.85. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	926	926
0.87	400	1,326
0.88	236	1,562
0.96	105	1,667
0.97	9	1,676
0.98	205	1,881
0.99	12	1,894

Spread0.02Mid0.85

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	594	594
0.83	721	1,315
0.80	299	1,614
0.79	210	1,824
0.68	5	1,829
0.58	5	1,834
0.56	10	1,844
0.52	600	2,444
0.51	205	2,649
0.32	705	3,354
0.31	30	3,384
0.30	232	3,617

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	594	594
0.17	721	1,315
0.20	299	1,614
0.21	210	1,824
0.32	5	1,829
0.42	5	1,834
0.44	10	1,844
0.48	600	2,444
0.49	205	2,649
0.68	705	3,354
0.69	30	3,384
0.70	232	3,617

Spread0.02Mid0.15

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	926	926
0.13	400	1,326
0.12	236	1,562
0.04	105	1,667
0.03	9	1,676
0.02	205	1,881
0.01	12	1,894

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Optimus-	Yes	6,043.73
Ahpo	Yes	2,219.49
KimchiCapital	Yes	1,826.92
cassino	Yes	1,218.64
BTCGOOSE	Yes	1,148.81
tupac8	Yes	945
canchoo	Yes	837.77
0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736	Yes	741.96
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	716.43
wahtsit	Yes	520
jyPoz	Yes	518.81
hahahahh	Yes	500
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	500
jwd103103	Yes	300
MrNFT	Yes	236
0xC37aBb02d2D74847B3f39c09F3eE286506844B0D-1768107209261	Yes	214.98
krootz	Yes	185.09
smartpreset	Yes	184.66
delphilo	Yes	176.83
LucieC.	Yes	150

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:00:35	BUY	No	0.16	10	$1.60
14:00:24	BUY	No	0.16	10	$1.60
03:57:48	SELL	Yes	0.84	3	$2.89
10:39:49	SELL	No	0.1522916189	959	$146.06
08:54:40	SELL	Yes	0.83	9	$7.42
20:03:57	SELL	Yes	0.805952381	8	$6.77
15:45:25	SELL	Yes	0.81	1	$1.00
09:56:48	BUY	Yes	0.84	1	$1.00
08:03:51	BUY	Yes	0.8399999905	8	$7.06
19:10:55	BUY	No	0.1951219512	10	$2.00
16:55:40	SELL	Yes	0.8	43	$34.32
11:10:54	SELL	No	0.165192125	800	$132.15
04:36:19	BUY	Yes	0.8199999977	9	$7.05
03:56:25	SELL	Yes	0.8	1	$0.66
01:57:52	SELL	Yes	0.8	53	$42.40
09:12:21	BUY	Yes	0.8	9	$7.05
06:30:42	SELL	Yes	0.810529313	411	$333.05
17:13:06	SELL	Yes	0.82	59	$48.23
23:13:42	BUY	Yes	0.8299999014	1	$1.01
23:13:37	BUY	Yes	0.83	11	$8.81
23:13:37	BUY	Yes	0.83	25	$21.04
23:13:37	BUY	Yes	0.83	15	$12.23
23:13:36	BUY	Yes	0.83	21	$17.31
23:13:36	BUY	Yes	0.83	36	$29.78
23:13:36	BUY	Yes	0.83	15	$12.47