PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

krootz

0x450e7a57c0c0b80c26fccb4251624142c5194fdd

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$842.0k
Markets traded
1,373
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,373
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8730.930$1.7k+$101.81
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9290.957$994.76+$28.76
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8370.845$834.34+$7.48
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7380.855$419.49+$57.23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.3220.135$415.64−$577.05
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6440.135$322.19−$1.2k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8230.865$263.12+$12.67
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.7950.675$251.57−$44.71
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.8600.855$241.38−$1.41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? · No0.9700.995$186.66+$4.65
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.9700.976$135.23+$0.83
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.9160.960$123.66+$5.71
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · No0.8100.775$111.02−$5.01
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.9900.993$95.62+$0.24
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7760.720$80.84−$6.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 12:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.67$44.68
10-15 12:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.66$42.68
10-15 11:25Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.99$4.95
10-15 10:25Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.994$4.97
10-15 00:45Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.85$4.25
10-14 20:26Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.995$4.97
10-14 18:10Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?SELL0.979$4.89
10-14 14:49Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.85$4.25
10-14 14:49Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.85$4.25
10-14 14:49Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.86$4.30
10-14 14:49Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.85$4.25
10-14 14:49Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.85$4.25
10-14 14:49Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.86$4.30
10-14 14:49Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.86$4.30
10-14 14:49Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?SELL0.85$4.25