PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BTCGOOSE

0xa9e64cc5fcda8edc389b1f979922566ff2b91dc2

Realised P&L
$-8.7k
Volume
$7.38M
Markets traded
371
Open portfolio
$976.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded371
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.4990.850$976.49+$403.18
Miami vs. Texas A&M · Texas A&M0.6050.000$0.00$5.7k
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? · No0.6570.000$0.00$335.19
Hawks vs. Spurs · Hawks0.2750.000$0.00$700.00
House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday? · No0.2030.000$0.00$300.00
Duke vs. Virginia · Virginia0.6300.000$0.00$23.0k
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars? · Yes0.7290.000$0.00$100.00
Will NVIDIA say "Trump" during earnings call? · Yes0.5220.000$0.00$300.00
Will Trump say "Autopen" during executive order signing today? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$120.00
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.3960.000$0.00$774.03
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$216.86
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira0.5100.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$339.98
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$1.9k
Will Clarence Thomas attend the 2026 State of the Union address? · Yes0.8440.000$0.00$747.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 14:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.034$87.58
08-20 14:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.035$648.17
08-20 14:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.036$334.42
08-20 14:31Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.948$506.05
08-20 14:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.2277078585$904.69
08-12 13:59 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.14$1.03
08-12 13:58Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.962$504.43
08-12 13:58Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.51$459.00
08-12 13:58Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.63$590.10
08-12 13:57Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.2292812285$1.9k
08-12 13:57Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.233$1.9k
08-12 13:56Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?SELL0.6$125.57
08-10 14:25Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$117.91
08-10 14:24Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9570532137$366.90
08-10 14:24Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$93.00