BTCGOOSE
0xa9e64cc5fcda8edc389b1f979922566ff2b91dc2
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $7.38M
- Markets traded
- 371
- Open portfolio
- $976.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded371
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.3kat 0.640Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$15.3kat 0.108US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$6.7kat 0.731Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$5.7kat 0.600US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
- +$5.3kat 0.763Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 14:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.034 | $87.58 |
| 08-20 14:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.035 | $648.17 |
| 08-20 14:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.036 | $334.42 |
| 08-20 14:31 | Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.948 | $506.05 |
| 08-20 14:30 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.2277078585 | $904.69 |
| 08-12 13:59 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.03 |
| 08-12 13:58 | Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.962 | $504.43 |
| 08-12 13:58 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $459.00 |
| 08-12 13:58 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.63 | $590.10 |
| 08-12 13:57 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.2292812285 | $1.9k |
| 08-12 13:57 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.233 | $1.9k |
| 08-12 13:56 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $125.57 |
| 08-10 14:25 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $117.91 |
| 08-10 14:24 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9570532137 | $366.90 |
| 08-10 14:24 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |