PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wahtsit

0x4f5de9ca599238c997e36365c0457a6ac8c14b54

Realised P&L
$-9.8k
Volume
$71.7k
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3030.125$561.48$799.56
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.4430.850$442.00+$211.40
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5060.390$151.10$44.79
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6770.939$65.72+$18.33
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4800.250$3.85$3.54
Hermans/Marcondes vs. Becroft/Delaney: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 · Under0.0090.000$0.00$9.64
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.8400.000$0.00$84.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 14:16Hermans/Marcondes vs. Becroft/Delaney: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5BUY0.009$9.64
05-31 17:34Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? BUY0.19$19.00
05-31 17:34Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?BUY0.46$115.00
05-24 00:01Total Kills Over/Under 34.5 in Game 4?BUY0.99$19.80
05-24 00:01Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?BUY0.99$19.80
05-24 00:01Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 4?BUY0.99$14.85
05-24 00:01Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 4?BUY0.99$14.85
05-24 00:01Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?BUY0.99$14.85
05-17 07:06Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?BUY0.98$4.90
05-17 07:05Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?BUY0.98$4.90
05-16 22:35Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5BUY0.99$34.65
05-15 06:26Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?BUY0.53$10.60
05-15 06:26Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?BUY0.54$15.44
05-15 06:25Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? BUY0.27$1.35
05-15 06:25Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?BUY0.68$33.99