PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LucieC.

0x983fd9ec745c64cc9c800421fc0fe0ec4069fd5e

Realised P&L
$684.16
Volume
$371.9k
Markets traded
711
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded711
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8790.972$194.40+$18.64
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8350.954$152.56+$18.92
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.2000.850$127.50+$97.50
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4160.755$121.56+$54.55
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7710.895$118.14+$16.32
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8990.976$118.04+$9.21
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? · No0.8800.965$115.73+$10.14
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8680.865$112.45$0.38
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.5520.845$101.40+$35.20
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6370.885$101.02+$28.26
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9360.994$99.34+$5.75
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9550.989$98.85+$3.35
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9040.980$97.95+$7.52
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.966$96.55+$3.55
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8970.633$93.76$38.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 07:23Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.9104969988$22.75
08-25 07:22Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.90427$90.43
08-25 07:22Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8993884298$108.83
08-25 07:21Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.884952$44.25
08-25 07:21Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8767712$131.52
08-25 07:17Will Segolene Royal win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?BUY0.933$32.66
07-27 10:15Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$5.94
07-27 10:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.194$19.40
07-27 10:07Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.43$10.75
07-27 10:03Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.13$19.50
07-11 20:08Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.019$9.50
07-11 20:08Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.019$9.50
07-11 20:07Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?BUY0.78$39.00
07-07 12:37Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.023$2.30
07-07 12:35Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$4.00