0x46a121E4DF5FdD6CF042A4EDe1E90672583E2736
0x46a121e4df5fdd6cf042a4ede1e90672583e2736
- Realised P&L
- $5.7k
- Volume
- $899.3k
- Markets traded
- 710
- Open portfolio
- $42.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded710
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.714SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$2.1kat 0.843SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
- +$1.6kat 0.326Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.5kat 0.892Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
- +$1.4kat 0.876Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 21:42 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 08-17 07:14 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $135.11 |
| 08-16 21:54 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $209.79 |
| 08-16 08:04 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.6252496 | $312.62 |
| 08-16 08:03 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.63001643 | $630.02 |
| 08-16 08:01 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $57.60 |
| 08-05 20:55 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $117.01 |
| 08-02 07:51 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.365037037 | $49.28 |
| 08-01 15:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 08-01 15:35 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $564.00 |
| 07-31 22:36 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.759 | $169.26 |
| 07-31 22:35 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.759 | $75.90 |
| 07-31 22:35 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.758 | $37.90 |
| 07-17 15:04 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.4747483846 | $61.72 |
| 07-12 08:46 | Will "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |