PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tupac8

0xacbca1cf43bd198e734089f198f3725281577cc3

Realised P&L
$112.5k
Volume
$4.88M
Markets traded
389
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded389
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3340.215$788.02$435.59
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5150.675$640.93+$152.13
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.3780.550$519.75+$162.10
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.7090.905$359.79+$77.96
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1150.100$234.09$37.02
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.1490.050$137.56$271.91
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat? · Yes0.3340.080$66.99$212.33
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? · No0.3300.115$29.13$54.46
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$41.31
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? · No0.5220.000$0.00$594.41
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15? · No0.5290.000$0.00$139.04
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$29.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? · No0.4200.000$0.00$1.3k
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$16.30
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$5.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-12 10:56Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?SELL0.4086707038$1.8k
06-12 08:19Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?SELL0.4808478447$185.29
06-12 08:13Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?SELL0.5965821159$185.81
06-12 08:00Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?SELL0.4124285627$2.0k
06-12 07:59Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?SELL0.4529924776$843.06
06-02 13:07MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.992$14.9k
05-31 17:43Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.4331037736$45.91
05-31 17:43Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.4377108712$68.13
05-31 17:42Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.4285910541$170.65
05-31 06:39Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?SELL0.4134627674$788.06
05-31 06:24Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?BUY0.002$6.77
05-31 06:22US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.12$21.37
05-31 06:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.12$2.1k
05-31 06:17Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?BUY0.0889089095$26.73
05-31 05:44Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?BUY0.0334678094$90.67