PolyBot

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Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.194. up 0.146 over the period, from 0.048. Range 0.046 to 0.485. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.221120120
0.22240160
0.23227187
0.24520207
0.27420227
0.28720247
0.31392339
0.314112451
0.44720471
0.54940511
0.55020531
0.68720551

Spread0.054Mid0.194

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1675555
0.1602075
0.1022095
0.101200295
0.10021316
0.0056322
0.0037329
0.002110439
0.0017351,174

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8335555
0.8402075
0.8982095
0.899200295
0.90021316
0.9956322
0.9977329
0.998110439
0.9997351,174

Spread0.054Mid0.806

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.779120120
0.77840160
0.76827187
0.75520207
0.72620227
0.71320247
0.68792339
0.686112451
0.55320471
0.45140511
0.45020531
0.31320551

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
CEMFI99Yes365.58
FihdrzgddYes111
pootytherewardfarmerYes97.88
shangqianYes87.8
frontiertradeYes80
AJSVYes76
2B9SYes71.65
JokerBotYes49.98
GuyFromTinderYes26.7
11B7c7e5D961Yes21.54
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes21
ddadsfYes10
sadfsadfYes10
0xa5ef…2966No864.51
tradetosurvive1No55
lissartterNo40.79
cloverpmq2No23.02
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.No20
LeChatonFatNo20
09F911029D74No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:47:16SELLYes0.16724$4.01
07:42:10SELLNo0.810$0.24
07:42:08BUYNo0.8485773847200$170.00
07:42:08BUYNo0.8089285714224$181.20
15:15:56BUYNo0.81120$16.22
11:12:02SELLNo0.781824402336$28.45
20:53:17SELLYes0.1812$0.45
23:53:20BUYYes0.22876$17.33
11:05:46BUYNo0.76723$17.66
07:52:03BUYNo0.76710$7.67
04:04:27BUYYes0.2220$4.40
04:04:27BUYYes0.219102$22.34
03:56:46BUYYes0.20637$7.62
03:56:34SELLNo0.7943$2.40
03:55:22SELLYes0.21721$4.56
03:55:19SELLYes0.22620$4.52
03:55:06BUYNo0.779620$15.59
03:55:04BUYNo0.77620$15.52
03:55:04BUYNo0.7570635714560$423.96
03:55:04BUYNo0.76610720$15.32
03:55:04BUYNo0.76399571581$62.00
02:26:31SELLNo0.7440$29.60
02:23:19BUYYes0.250054656941$10.28
02:23:15BUYYes0.249498256140$10.01
02:23:15BUYYes0.24910$2.46