PolyBot

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Traders

CEMFI99

0xbe1acc1a43d2514c8ddef4c10a50670eff83b3f8

Realised P&L
$82.73
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$6.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · No0.9390.975$1.4k+$51.60
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9180.940$870.27+$20.29
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · No0.9320.980$685.90+$33.76
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · No0.9380.956$664.11+$11.94
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.9200.950$568.41+$17.98
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · No0.9470.971$365.25+$8.81
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3180.725$332.07+$186.63
Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? · No0.8860.920$308.94+$11.52
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? · No0.9120.968$268.23+$15.27
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? · No0.7780.880$158.40+$18.40
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026? · Yes0.8020.925$130.56+$17.30
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8500.942$104.52+$10.17
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? · Yes0.7770.880$83.76+$9.81
Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0310.201$46.76+$39.64
Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? · No0.8990.955$38.31+$2.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 01:36Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?BUY0.8210147361$44.01
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.89$17.80
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8857057772$297.42
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9379116809$512.00
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.94$7.60
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9091688897$232.06
09-26 01:32Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?BUY0.7199999904$29.93
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9399999993$26.63
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.95$20.90
09-26 01:32Will any other model be the best AI model on September 28, 2026?BUY0.7992946643$96.32
09-26 01:32Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9388311005$1.2k
09-26 01:32Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9365432671$153.89
09-26 01:32Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9180855612$849.98
09-26 01:32Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9383261395$652.17
09-26 01:32Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 5, 2026?BUY0.7777777778$140.00