09F911029D74
0x4247c89f4a9236a6b5fb24502023bcc98ab1455f
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $2.24M
- Markets traded
- 19,803
- Open portfolio
- $15.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,803
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.00at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on September 27?
- +$198.00at 0.010Chong/Kempen vs. Aoyama/Chan: Match O/U 22.5
- +$198.00at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on September 27?
- +$197.99at 0.010Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 30?
- +$197.79at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:53 | Will the Boston Bruins record 110+ points? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 10-31 19:03 | Will Michael Olise (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | SELL | 0.811 | $4.06 |
| 10-31 06:02 | Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 10-30 18:10 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 17:27 | Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.59 | $12.98 |
| 10-30 16:06 | Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 10-30 14:33 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.973 | $4.87 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.974 | $4.87 |
| 10-28 23:29 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.38 |
| 10-28 11:28 | Sweden snap election called in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-27 17:20 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 14:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-27 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.99 |
| 10-27 09:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.63 |
| 10-27 03:41 | Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.95 |