PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

09F911029D74

0x4247c89f4a9236a6b5fb24502023bcc98ab1455f

Realised P&L
$13.5k
Volume
$2.24M
Markets traded
19,803
Open portfolio
$15.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19,803
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:53Will the Boston Bruins record 110+ points?SELL0.68$3.40
10-31 19:03Will Michael Olise (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?SELL0.811$4.06
10-31 06:02Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?SELL0.982$4.91
10-30 18:10Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 30?SELL0.999$5.00
10-30 17:27Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?SELL0.59$12.98
10-30 16:06Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?SELL0.78$3.90
10-30 14:33Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?SELL0.973$4.87
10-29 17:47Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?SELL0.974$4.87
10-28 23:29Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 28?SELL0.999$9.38
10-28 11:28Sweden snap election called in 2026?SELL0.8$4.00
10-27 17:20Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?SELL0.999$5.00
10-27 14:41Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 28?SELL0.998$4.99
10-27 12:51Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?SELL0.998$6.99
10-27 09:31Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?SELL0.999$8.63
10-27 03:41Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.79$3.95