PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.036. down 0.040 over the period, from 0.075. Range 0.027 to 0.138. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0555050
0.0573080
0.05820100
0.0667107
0.06772179
0.09045224
0.091175399
0.09226425
0.0937431
0.0946437
0.10120457
0.10226483

Spread0.038Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0175959
0.0161169
0.0151079
0.00823103
0.007131234
0.006192426
0.004133559
0.003405964
0.0021,5292,493
0.0013,4235,917

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9835959
0.9841169
0.9851079
0.99223103
0.993131234
0.994192426
0.996133559
0.997405964
0.9981,5292,493
0.9993,4235,917

Spread0.038Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9455050
0.9433080
0.94220100
0.9347107
0.93372179
0.91045224
0.909175399
0.90826425
0.9077431
0.9066437
0.89920457
0.89826483

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
1in1000Yes1,000
mateonsYes219
ksassYes160
planktonXDYes73
crop?Yes53.34
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes40.46
LornaPredictsYes36.62
Dr.PNLYes31.34
79fsdfsYes27.5
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes22
Mojito9Yes20.54
0x11b7…4b0fYes18.87
df4d8fa4sdf5Yes17.2
Mithrandir.Yes11.29
kijgfa22Yes10
balthazarYes9.72
pppnnYes3.72
plainfolderYes2.22
0xa5ef…2966No1,662.45
cigarettesNo39.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:20:53BUYYes0.052999998719$1.00
08:20:53BUYYes0.0512808835160$8.22
05:17:25BUYNo0.98799999572$1.85
04:42:07BUYNo0.9909999951$1.18
01:39:36BUYYes0.03110$0.31
01:09:55BUYNo0.9724$23.28
01:09:51BUYNo0.9765$63.05
01:09:49BUYNo0.9713$12.42
01:09:49BUYNo0.9710$9.70
20:39:06SELLYes0.0342$1.26
19:14:27BUYNo0.977$6.98
17:20:45BUYNo0.96910$9.69
16:19:36BUYYes0.03240$1.28
15:25:31BUYNo0.9697$6.49
15:25:31BUYNo0.96911$10.66
15:25:31BUYNo0.96914$13.08
15:23:54BUYNo0.965720$19.31
15:23:49BUYNo0.96410$9.64
15:23:49BUYNo0.9648$7.71
07:23:22SELLYes0.0364327007137$4.99
15:01:04BUYYes0.0402919708137$5.52
14:48:28SELLYes0.0316$0.19
10:37:51BUYYes0.03125$0.78
08:41:27SELLYes0.038$0.22
03:33:40SELLYes0.031$0.01