Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.37. up 0.29 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.04 to 0.46. 141 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.54	157	157
0.55	8	165
0.59	85	250
0.60	58	308
0.61	50	358
0.62	8	366
0.63	22	387
0.64	157	544
0.65	100	644
0.66	10	654
0.67	150	804
0.68	332	1,136

Spread0.34Mid0.37

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	31	31
0.19	8	39
0.15	100	139
0.13	8	147
0.12	100	247
0.06	67	313
0.05	90	403
0.03	6	409
0.02	200	609
0.01	5,008	5,617

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	31	31
0.81	8	39
0.85	100	139
0.87	8	147
0.88	100	247
0.94	67	313
0.95	90	403
0.97	6	409
0.98	200	609
0.99	5,008	5,617

Spread0.34Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.46	157	157
0.45	8	165
0.41	85	250
0.40	58	308
0.39	50	358
0.38	8	366
0.37	22	387
0.36	157	544
0.35	100	644
0.34	10	654
0.33	150	804
0.32	332	1,136

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
molodoyy	Yes	499.99
spggggg	Yes	332.1
1in1000	Yes	240
LornaPredicts	Yes	178
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998	Yes	150
balthazar	Yes	63.77
Elton123	Yes	54.65
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	49.99
r1stal	Yes	33.5
AJSV	Yes	21.8
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	19
nc3iceibvtvetvbt	Yes	6.78
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519	Yes	5
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329	Yes	5
0x861e05199E800FF6CBC6261C0558DB16353E36F6-1781256530128	Yes	3.83
quietparcel	Yes	3.36
POB-T	Yes	1.17
0x7Af0c6129fC06eEbECb709eb7A05436742e8EF23-1782746629039	Yes	1
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,499.56
cigarettes	No	80

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:00:56	BUY	Yes	0.29	9	$2.61
09:30:56	BUY	Yes	0.48	16	$7.63
09:06:09	SELL	Yes	0.32	9	$2.88
08:06:42	BUY	No	0.64	20	$12.80
08:01:35	BUY	Yes	0.37	19	$7.03
03:48:12	SELL	Yes	0.54	292	$157.68
03:48:12	BUY	No	0.49	9	$4.41
03:40:48	BUY	Yes	0.59	80	$47.26
02:42:05	BUY	Yes	0.1420875421	297	$42.20
02:36:02	BUY	Yes	0.14	20	$2.80
02:34:51	BUY	Yes	0.1086075949	79	$8.58
14:39:32	SELL	No	0.9	1	$1.05
11:35:50	BUY	Yes	0.07	14	$0.97
11:35:17	BUY	Yes	0.06	78	$4.71
11:34:54	BUY	Yes	0.04	28	$1.11
02:32:38	BUY	No	0.94	46	$43.47
02:32:38	BUY	No	0.936752	50	$46.84
02:32:36	BUY	No	0.93	10	$9.30
02:32:12	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.01
02:31:18	BUY	No	0.93	25	$23.42
02:31:06	BUY	No	0.93	28	$25.95
02:29:12	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.01
02:29:09	BUY	Yes	0.093744199	11	$1.01
02:29:08	BUY	Yes	0.08	13	$1.01
02:28:12	BUY	No	0.93	6	$5.49