DeepWaterMarkets
0x861e05199e800ff6cbc6261c0558db16353e36f6
- Realised P&L
- $-10.35
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 707
- Open portfolio
- $230.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded707
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.65at 0.560Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.360Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$1.05at 0.290Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$0.50at 0.710Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
- +$0.45at 0.580Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:40 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 08-03 13:54 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 08-03 13:53 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-03 12:30 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 08-03 11:34 | Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-03 11:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.249 | $1.25 |
| 08-03 04:21 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 03:01 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-03 02:57 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-02 18:02 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-02 16:48 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 14:28 | Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.939 | $4.69 |
| 08-02 13:50 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | SELL | 0.691 | $6.91 |