PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DeepWaterMarkets

0x861e05199e800ff6cbc6261c0558db16353e36f6

Realised P&L
$-10.35
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
707
Open portfolio
$230.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded707
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? · No0.9590.962$4.81+$0.01
Will Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? · No0.9580.946$4.73$0.06
Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.860$4.30+$0.30
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · No0.9200.840$4.20$0.40
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.805$4.03+$0.03
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.7200.730$3.65+$0.05
Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.680$3.40+$0.10
Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? · No0.7900.595$2.97$0.98
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.5700.580$2.90+$0.05
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.6000.540$2.70$0.30
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31? · Yes0.5900.360$2.59$1.65
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.5000.480$2.40$0.10
Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? · No0.5870.471$2.36$0.58
Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026? · No0.5600.570$2.28+$0.04
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · No0.4700.445$2.23$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 14:40Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.09$0.45
08-03 13:54Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.42$2.10
08-03 13:53Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?SELL0.52$2.60
08-03 12:30Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$1.25
08-03 11:34Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?BUY0.48$2.40
08-03 11:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.249$1.25
08-03 04:21Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3$1.50
08-03 03:01Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.73$3.65
08-03 02:57Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.21$1.05
08-02 23:17Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?BUY0.26$1.30
08-02 22:00Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31?BUY0.23$1.15
08-02 18:02Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.36$1.80
08-02 16:48Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026?BUY0.22$1.10
08-02 14:28Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.939$4.69
08-02 13:50Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?SELL0.691$6.91