PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7Af0c6129fC06eEbECb709eb7A05436742e8EF23-1782746629039

0xea342baf63b6812afc4790aa37328955a4595630

Realised P&L
$-601.22
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
200
Open portfolio
$39.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded200
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? · Yes0.4100.560$28.00+$7.50
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? · Yes0.4200.345$6.90−$1.50
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31? · Yes0.2900.620$4.66+$2.48
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3100.003$0.06−$6.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 08:44Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on September 30, 2026?SELL0.176155$3.52
08-06 06:27Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?SELL0.32$6.40
08-06 06:13Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?SELL0.3$6.00
08-06 03:10Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.24$4.80
08-06 01:28Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?SELL0.131$2.62
08-06 01:10Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?SELL0.31$6.20
08-05 23:12Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?SELL0.19$3.80
08-05 22:53Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.43$8.60
08-05 21:47Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?SELL0.31$6.20
08-05 21:42Will DeepSeek be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.18$3.60
08-05 19:59Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?SELL0.57$11.40
08-05 10:46Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.17$3.40
08-04 18:08Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.35$7.00
08-04 12:32Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.68$13.60
08-04 11:00Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?SELL0.175$3.50