r1stal
0x872d61102c4cf3f1d03808f603824b286ad1379d
- Realised P&L
- $-52.94
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $94.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$15.75at 0.160Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:17 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1455088713 | $1.08 |
| 08-02 14:15 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.09 |
| 08-02 14:14 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 14:11 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | BUY | 0.2799999552 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 14:08 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $8.57 |
| 08-01 10:54 | Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.11 |
| 08-01 10:54 | Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? | BUY | 0.0299076601 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 10:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1099999901 | $9.70 |
| 08-01 10:41 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.2629999824 | $8.50 |
| 08-01 10:41 | Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 10:41 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0730263159 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 10:30 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.0182780147 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 10:28 | Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.022718579 | $4.50 |
| 07-31 12:50 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.37 |
| 07-31 12:48 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.09 |