PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

r1stal

0x872d61102c4cf3f1d03808f603824b286ad1379d

Realised P&L
$-52.94
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$94.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0180.049$13.40+$8.40
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0890.380$12.73+$9.73
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0500.145$8.70+$5.70
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0220.074$6.63+$4.63
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.2900.540$5.59+$2.59
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.2800.250$5.12$0.61
Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? · Yes0.2400.145$4.30$2.81
Will Solana dip to $70 in August? · No0.2800.280$4.00+$0.00
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.1690.152$3.42$0.38
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0800.075$2.81$0.19
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0550.029$2.69$2.31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0360.014$2.60$4.09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0620.030$2.53$2.71
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.1900.295$2.33+$0.83
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.2100.160$2.29$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:17Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on August 31, 2026?BUY0.1455088713$1.08
08-02 14:15Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.44$0.09
08-02 14:14Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30?BUY0.05$3.00
08-02 14:11Will Solana dip to $70 in August?BUY0.2799999552$4.00
08-02 14:08Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.3$8.57
08-01 10:54Will Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?BUY0.24$7.11
08-01 10:54Will Anduril have the third highest private market valuation on August 31?BUY0.0299076601$2.00
08-01 10:48Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?BUY0.1099999901$9.70
08-01 10:41Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.2629999824$8.50
08-01 10:41Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.08$3.00
08-01 10:41Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0730263159$3.00
08-01 10:30Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.0182780147$5.00
08-01 10:28Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.022718579$4.50
07-31 12:50Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.74$2.37
07-31 12:48Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.12$1.09