PolyBot

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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-08-10
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.09 to 0.10. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.111,4711,471
0.123,0624,534
0.134104,943
0.14134,956
0.1654,961
0.35154,976
0.36405,016
0.3785,024
0.39455,069
0.40255,094
0.53105,104
0.541505,254

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.10835835
0.094501,285
0.089952,280
0.073,9136,193
0.05306,223
0.045006,723

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.90835835
0.914501,285
0.929952,280
0.933,9136,193
0.95306,223
0.965006,723

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.891,4711,471
0.883,0624,534
0.874104,943
0.86134,956
0.8454,961
0.65154,976
0.64405,016
0.6385,024
0.61455,069
0.60255,094
0.47105,104
0.461505,254

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x88361C7A0954f90F80aCFf8b6B20e172b01366b4-1763020077595Yes412.25
ZinfandelEnjoyerYes286.22
briback22Yes268.32
ImJustKenYes206.39
UCLA26Yes200
cry.eth2Yes144.3
spaceskeletonYes137.96
0x2f35f725a2bde1BC679816c098225Bce9d7B1947-1760857145030Yes94.33
CelestibusYes85.17
yaslamenaceYes70.1
LornaPredictsYes66.12
Numitus1994Yes37.1
AJSVYes31.88
saiwang2026Yes25.25
catussoYes22.62
0x525e…0b73Yes16.05
Tanxuan-pokerYes14.43
HaradwaithYes12.98
gaut6375Yes10
nigletteYes8.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:44:28SELLNo0.898$6.83
20:17:12SELLNo0.98$6.90
20:14:15SELLNo0.906390588221$19.26
08:31:07SELLNo0.891$1.00
20:08:37SELLNo0.8916$14.24
13:54:49SELLNo0.94$3.22
09:52:01BUYNo0.924$3.29
06:00:07SELLNo0.915$4.52
22:59:43BUYNo0.935$4.62
22:41:04SELLNo0.914$4.07
18:40:00BUYNo0.934$4.16
09:20:27SELLNo0.913$2.73
01:15:04BUYNo0.933$2.79
11:30:25SELLNo0.915$4.14
04:29:42BUYNo0.935$4.24
02:09:30SELLNo0.916$5.00
20:00:04BUYNo0.936$5.12
13:18:21SELLNo0.912$2.04
07:13:13BUYNo0.932$2.08
02:41:22SELLNo0.915$4.90
22:35:06BUYNo0.935$5.00
12:57:15SELLNo0.917$6.43
04:55:15BUYNo0.937$6.58
20:30:01SELLNo0.927$6.47
15:29:28BUYNo0.937$6.54