PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x88361C7A0954f90F80aCFf8b6B20e172b01366b4-1763020077595

0x88361c7a0954f90f80acff8b6b20e172b01366b4

Realised P&L
$58.00
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$123.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.6800.805$59.19+$9.19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.2000.115$47.41$34.87
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.2000.115$16.65$12.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-13 11:05Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?SELL0.002$0.86
05-11 12:20Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.6799999984$50.00
05-01 16:31Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?BUY0.0695042013$30.00
04-30 19:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?BUY0.95$10.00
04-30 19:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?BUY0.9399999991$20.00
04-30 08:55Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?BUY0.82$19.99
04-30 08:55Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?BUY0.819999982$20.00
04-25 21:02Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.2854330363$4.71
04-25 21:02Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.2446095151$9.40
04-25 21:01Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.1828399789$18.69
04-25 20:59Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.2308475947$9.38
04-25 20:58Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.1962323391$9.36
04-25 20:58Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.189999988$9.35
04-25 20:58Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.1912338407$46.76
04-25 20:36Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.94$52.22