PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Celestibus

0xd4b1df996eeb35076735d8b67652c7e6b4f89440

Realised P&L
$-286.50
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$23.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-23.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 09:44Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.1174168203$10.00
08-12 09:41Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?BUY0.2280701622$10.00
08-12 09:40Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
06-19 08:44Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?BUY0.369999981$11.86
06-15 08:20Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2349999723$5.00
06-15 08:19Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
06-15 08:13Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?BUY0.4043079924$25.00
06-15 07:51GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?BUY0.2599999924$24.72
11-05 10:56Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3739999986$104.21
11-05 08:30Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.392999999$104.50