Tanxuan-poker
0xe196c85512f6999f24fdbcc8e13d8f67c38cb2b8
- Realised P&L
- $-234.28
- Volume
- $188.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,499
- Open portfolio
- $14.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,499
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.73at 0.017Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?
- +$127.28at 0.180Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?
- +$121.14at 0.017Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
- +$99.52at 0.032Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?
- +$81.85at 0.237Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 11:31 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs | SELL | 0.9609757433 | $12.28 |
| 07-15 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 07-14 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.76 | $11.37 |
| 07-14 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 14? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.77 |
| 07-14 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14? | SELL | 0.2700931677 | $1.74 |
| 07-14 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.6599997909 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.73 | $0.21 |
| 07-14 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.8099999198 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.8499999579 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.6999998614 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.8099999198 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.7599992776 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.808 | $1.01 |
| 07-14 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 14? | SELL | 0.1607384615 | $1.04 |
| 07-14 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15? | BUY | 0.2699998583 | $1.01 |