PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Tanxuan-poker

0xe196c85512f6999f24fdbcc8e13d8f67c38cb2b8

Realised P&L
$-234.28
Volume
$188.3k
Markets traded
2,499
Open portfolio
$14.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,499
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration76.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.7800.870$4.29+$0.44
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2200.115$1.66$1.52
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0700.115$1.66+$0.65
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.0200.009$0.99$1.10
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · Yes0.0490.038$0.79$0.22
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.76$0.25
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$0.69$0.32
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.2000.065$0.66$1.36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2700.065$0.63$1.97
Will Aaron Judge hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0330.010$0.51$1.18
Will Trey Yesavage win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0220.008$0.51$0.88
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2200.095$0.44$0.57
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.0180.003$0.42$2.61
Will Logan Henderson win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0080.001$0.08$0.59
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0640.001$0.01$0.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 11:31Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 PlayoffsSELL0.9609757433$12.28
07-15 02:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 15?SELL0.04$0.20
07-14 22:59Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?SELL0.76$11.37
07-14 20:56Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 14?SELL0.44$2.77
07-14 16:29Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?SELL0.2700931677$1.74
07-14 15:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 15?BUY0.6599997909$1.01
07-14 15:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?BUY0.73$0.21
07-14 14:04Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 15?BUY0.8099999198$1.01
07-14 14:04Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 15?BUY0.8499999579$1.01
07-14 14:04Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 15?BUY0.6999998614$1.01
07-14 14:04Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 15?BUY0.8099999198$1.01
07-14 14:04Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 15?BUY0.7599992776$1.01
07-14 14:04Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 15?BUY0.808$1.01
07-14 13:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 14?SELL0.1607384615$1.04
07-14 12:10Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 15?BUY0.2699998583$1.01