0x2f35f725a2bde1BC679816c098225Bce9d7B1947-1760857145030
0x2f35f725a2bde1bc679816c098225bce9d7b1947
- Realised P&L
- $465.90
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $249.06
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.569 | $170.70 | +$47.70 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.583 | 0.655 | $45.85 | +$5.05 |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31? · Yes | 0.705 | 0.873 | $21.52 | +$4.13 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.105 | $9.90 | +$0.81 |
| Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.015 | $1.08 | −$32.51 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.56at 0.215Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
- +$95.07at 0.709Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31?
- +$66.59at 0.827Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $115B by August 31?
- +$61.80at 0.923Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$36.83at 0.521Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 22:55 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 08-11 22:43 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $115B by August 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $68.00 |
| 08-11 22:43 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $115B by August 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $302.95 |
| 08-10 10:01 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 08-10 09:51 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 08-10 02:53 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $115B by August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 08-10 02:51 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $115B by August 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $19.43 |
| 08-10 02:51 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $115B by August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 08-07 00:46 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $11.93 |
| 08-03 22:22 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 08-03 04:21 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $21.00 |
| 08-03 03:12 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $15.84 |
| 08-03 03:12 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $38.54 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $59.33 |
| 07-29 21:12 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |