catusso
0x18e02f97cf02a5c3fcb2023d987d975cca2ed024
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $429.8k
- Markets traded
- 359
- Open portfolio
- $274.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded359
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.33at 0.150Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
- +$92.74at 0.019Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$90.87at 0.069Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$80.81at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$56.92at 0.579Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 02:13 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.105 | $3.20 |
| 09-14 02:13 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.105 | $6.40 |
| 09-13 17:41 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 09-11 03:25 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.97 |
| 09-10 01:51 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.90 |
| 09-09 06:07 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.077 | $4.87 |
| 09-09 02:13 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.031 | $9.61 |
| 09-09 02:02 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 03:32 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 09-08 02:25 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 09-08 01:19 | Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-07 03:37 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-06 07:16 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.59 | $76.70 |
| 08-31 00:19 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.80 |
| 08-31 00:18 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3492488889 | $15.72 |