PolyBot

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Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.30. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.28 to 0.77. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.31298298
0.32360658
0.3333691
0.3455746
0.39180925
0.4622947
0.4719966
0.4921987
0.50601,047
0.521391,186
0.54501,236
0.71201,256

Spread0.01Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.308080
0.2950130
0.2620150
0.2526176
0.087183
0.0757240
0.0545285
0.0440325
0.0214339
0.01507846

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.708080
0.7150130
0.7420150
0.7526176
0.927183
0.9357240
0.9545285
0.9640325
0.9814339
0.99507846

Spread0.01Mid0.69

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.69298298
0.68360658
0.6733691
0.6655746
0.61180925
0.5422947
0.5319966
0.5121987
0.50601,047
0.481391,186
0.46501,236
0.29201,256

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
folioquantYes271.84
panflashYes200
tradetosurvive1Yes114.81
FihdrzgddYes100
0x6b0e…e3eaYes75.98
gfdgfvfvssddYes60
youtube-traderYes56.51
0xd45b…7ae6Yes33
wildboar08Yes30
pootytherewardfarmerYes22
AJSVYes20.11
ufodiscYes6.39
0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13No452.97
cambridgeisaacNo363.36
WINMALENo65
maybebrianNo50
Miguel262144No33
takeright32No26.32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:49:49BUYNo0.6830$20.40
03:26:42BUYNo0.6733$22.11
22:42:28SELLNo0.6412$7.68
22:40:28SELLNo0.6414$8.96
22:36:31SELLNo0.6314$8.82
22:22:27SELLNo0.611071352373$228.15
03:37:10BUYNo0.6297941544125$78.42
03:37:10BUYNo0.5240131579152$79.65
23:17:25BUYNo0.46850$23.40
21:47:55SELLYes0.5655$30.80
10:55:51SELLYes0.5520$11.01
09:36:42BUYNo0.4489149838249$111.71
09:36:40BUYNo0.38301$114.37
11:48:39SELLNo0.3419$6.29
11:17:34SELLNo0.3532$11.02
10:40:09SELLNo0.3550$17.50
10:40:06BUYYes0.65200$130.00
08:45:34BUYNo0.379999992426$10.00
14:12:54BUYNo0.3825$9.50
14:11:45SELLYes0.6220$12.40
14:11:43BUYNo0.3740$14.80
19:06:43SELLYes0.565945431516$8.92
18:57:40SELLYes0.755$3.75
18:57:33SELLYes0.7415$11.10
18:57:18BUYNo0.250370367621$5.20