Itsmeitf
0x3a9e79f1ddc7c9e6cc930619058f02d3bcc75cd9
- Realised P&L
- $-10.02
- Volume
- $337.22
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $153.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.870 | 0.956 | $93.35 | +$8.35 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? · No | 0.891 | 0.903 | $20.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.454 | 0.444 | $19.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.640 | 0.645 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.997 | $6.31 | +$1.31 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #2 searched person on Google this year? · No | 0.870 | 0.730 | $1.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? · No | 0.872 | 0.603 | $1.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.100 | $1.29 | −$2.71 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$2.99 |
| Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.42at 0.763Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.31at 0.865Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.983Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 05:06 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 05:05 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.986 | $20.07 |
| 10-04 05:04 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.8699999987 | $55.00 |
| 10-04 05:03 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 05:03 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4539999942 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 05:02 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 13:37 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7553720869 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 14:38 | Will Bad Bunny be the #2 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.8699998391 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 14:37 | Will Nike (NKE) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 14:36 | Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026? | BUY | 0.871999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 14:35 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 14:34 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9819999893 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 14:34 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.8907136246 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 14:33 | Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:15 | Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $4.00 |