wildboar08
0xb26080fb188f2ecb132e2577243b6011c71c9d59
- Realised P&L
- $-221.01
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $406.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.11at 0.867Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?
- +$22.75at 0.362Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$17.11at 0.854Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
- +$10.96at 0.785Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
- +$8.36at 0.382Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 00:47 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.1164179049 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 00:46 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.2010785087 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 00:43 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 00:43 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $20.57 |
| 10-04 00:42 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 00:42 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1316489292 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 23:24 | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 23:23 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:23 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 23:21 | Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 23:20 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799998733 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 23:20 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 23:19 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 23:19 | GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 23:18 | Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |