ufodisc
0x86a95bc5ef94b4a268d41356734847ea987f50ae
- Realised P&L
- $-486.37
- Volume
- $168.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,581
- Open portfolio
- $69.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,581
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 09-14 21:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 09-10 17:19 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 09-10 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.11 |
| 09-09 23:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.03 |
| 09-09 23:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.40 |
| 09-09 20:26 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 10? | SELL | 0.913 | $4.57 |
| 09-09 13:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.18 |
| 09-09 10:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9? | SELL | 0.37 | $17.15 |
| 09-09 01:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 8? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.32 |
| 09-09 01:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.38 |
| 09-09 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 8? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.07 |
| 09-08 22:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:17 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-08 00:02 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.08 | $9.60 |