PolyBot

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Traders

ufodisc

0x86a95bc5ef94b4a268d41356734847ea987f50ae

Realised P&L
$-486.37
Volume
$168.0k
Markets traded
1,581
Open portfolio
$69.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,581
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration86.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:01Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?SELL0.94$7.52
09-14 21:21Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 14?SELL0.03$0.60
09-10 17:19Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.34$34.00
09-10 02:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 10?SELL0.1$1.11
09-09 23:30Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 10?SELL0.04$2.03
09-09 23:24Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 10?SELL0.04$0.40
09-09 20:26Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 10?SELL0.913$4.57
09-09 13:30Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9?BUY0.01$0.18
09-09 10:37Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?SELL0.37$17.15
09-09 01:32Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 8?SELL0.04$0.32
09-09 01:11Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 9?SELL0.02$0.38
09-09 00:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 8?SELL0.007$0.07
09-08 22:31Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 9?SELL0.05$1.00
09-08 00:17LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.21$4.20
09-08 00:02LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.08$9.60