Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-10-26
Rewards: 20 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.34. up 0.16 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.07 to 0.51. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.35	215	215
0.36	178	393
0.40	200	593
0.41	21	614
0.45	200	814
0.50	200	1,014
0.52	10	1,024
0.55	200	1,224
0.60	500	1,724
0.61	13	1,737
0.69	190	1,927
0.70	500	2,427

Spread0.03Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	376	376
0.31	127	503
0.27	6	510
0.20	225	735
0.17	293	1,027
0.07	276	1,303
0.06	33,333	34,637
0.05	50,000	84,637
0.04	5	84,642
0.03	83,333	167,975
0.02	150,000	317,975
0.01	2,015	319,991

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	376	376
0.69	127	503
0.73	6	510
0.80	225	735
0.83	293	1,027
0.93	276	1,303
0.94	33,333	34,637
0.95	50,000	84,637
0.96	5	84,642
0.97	83,333	167,975
0.98	150,000	317,975
0.99	2,015	319,991

Spread0.03Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.65	215	215
0.64	178	393
0.60	200	593
0.59	21	614
0.55	200	814
0.50	200	1,014
0.48	10	1,024
0.45	200	1,224
0.40	500	1,724
0.39	13	1,737
0.31	190	1,927
0.30	500	2,427

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
CDReves	Yes	2,303.78
AJSV	Yes	45
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	40
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527	Yes	21
cigarettes	Yes	20
0xa5ef…2966	No	919.53
shiifoo	No	338.97
LornaPredicts	No	253.93
vozomnil	No	220
johnashbough	No	206.97
ragutwo	No	125
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	No	80.36
infoowl	No	80
lolzzzlol	No	72.59
etghzcer	No	50
0x4629…f3b1	No	30
pootytherewardfarmer	No	30
123987456	No	10
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	No	10
Kakashka	No	2.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:05:15	SELL	No	0.65	5	$3.25
14:03:24	BUY	Yes	0.33	10	$3.30
14:03:24	BUY	Yes	0.32	20	$6.40
14:03:24	BUY	Yes	0.32	20	$6.40
14:03:24	SELL	No	0.69	70	$48.30
13:33:12	BUY	No	0.71	30	$21.30
13:05:32	BUY	Yes	0.36	21	$7.56
13:04:48	SELL	No	0.71	5	$3.55
13:01:03	BUY	No	0.52	20	$10.40
12:49:09	BUY	No	0.25	200	$50.00
12:45:36	BUY	No	0.25	200	$50.00
12:44:35	BUY	No	0.25	50	$12.50
12:44:02	BUY	No	0.25	140	$35.00
12:44:00	BUY	No	0.25	10	$2.50
12:44:00	BUY	Yes	0.75	50	$37.50
12:42:42	BUY	No	0.26	2	$0.51
12:42:42	BUY	Yes	0.74	30	$22.47
12:42:42	BUY	No	0.26	18	$4.59
12:41:00	BUY	Yes	0.77	80	$61.60
12:40:18	BUY	No	0.25	100	$25.00
12:37:45	BUY	Yes	0.85	50	$42.50
12:35:33	BUY	No	0.1	160	$16.00
12:35:33	BUY	No	0.1	10	$1.00
12:35:33	BUY	Yes	0.8961524264	130	$116.53
12:32:59	BUY	Yes	0.84	153	$128.52