Kakashka
0x558375e97ab6d8feaabf2cfd00d4d2b85f0c1c84
- Realised P&L
- $-51.33
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $19.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.10at 0.997Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?
- +$1.60at 0.520Phillies vs. Yankees
- +$1.59at 0.440Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
- +$1.57at 0.688First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$1.49at 0.560Orioles vs. Guardians
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 06:45 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25? | BUY | 0.7599999169 | $1.83 |
| 10-09 05:55 | KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants | BUY | 0.7299999228 | $1.89 |
| 09-29 10:17 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999675 | $2.19 |
| 09-09 08:33 | Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.65 |
| 08-25 10:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999671 | $2.09 |
| 08-14 11:36 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999756 | $1.74 |
| 08-14 11:35 | Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.70 |
| 08-07 08:58 | Will Racing Santander win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.89 |
| 07-31 09:34 | Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.9099999695 | $1.49 |
| 07-24 10:37 | Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8999996582 | $1.58 |
| 07-17 06:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.78 |
| 07-10 11:32 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999413 | $1.78 |
| 07-02 14:14 | Will Solana reach $85 on July 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.58 |
| 06-25 15:20 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.79 |
| 06-18 13:39 | Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | BUY | 0.8811188151 | $1.68 |