PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-03-02
Resolves by
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. Unchanged over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.002 to 0.003. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0032,9882,988
0.00425,00027,988
0.00836728,355
0.00915028,505
0.010528,510
0.0113428,544
0.01217028,715
0.01312028,835
0.01511428,949
0.01913029,079
0.0202,00031,079
0.0228031,159

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0024,1624,162
0.0015,0929,254

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9984,1624,162
0.9995,0929,254

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9972,9882,988
0.99625,00027,988
0.99236728,355
0.99115028,505
0.990528,510
0.9893428,544
0.98817028,715
0.98712028,835
0.98511428,949
0.98113029,079
0.9802,00031,079
0.9788031,159

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
GennedyYes32,031.57
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes29,870.41
0xa0f2…1848Yes17,123.28
px1Yes12,526.36
CriptanTDAYes6,536.27
imagineallYes6,249.75
GrandNegroniSlurpClubYes6,007.62
PCMTestYes5,900
387411007415611814092217897387Yes3,747.41
donthackmeYes3,270.49
IP1380Yes2,811.41
896330449Yes2,528.24
RandomWalker3Yes2,234.72
JcmirasYes2,186.27
MrVatanaYes2,000
Orion96Yes1,869.85
AMAM13Yes1,864.34
JopolYes1,797.12
kgg001Yes1,719.9
stiflerlimaYes1,539.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:52:12SELLYes0.00282$0.16
16:11:33BUYNo0.99830$29.94
16:11:31BUYNo0.998240$239.52
04:23:19SELLNo0.99717$17.12
04:15:39SELLNo0.99712$11.75
03:16:57BUYNo0.99829$28.91
01:26:24SELLNo0.99847$46.46
01:00:39BUYNo0.99926$26.30
00:42:30BUYNo0.99920$20.21
19:03:12SELLYes0.0025$0.01
23:40:47SELLNo0.99724$24.00
23:03:49BUYNo0.99824$24.03
15:43:41BUYNo0.998153$153.14
15:43:40BUYNo0.99830$29.94
13:35:24BUYNo0.99830$29.94
13:35:24BUYNo0.998200$199.60
13:35:24BUYNo0.99868$67.86
08:47:15SELLNo0.99710$10.11
08:13:50SELLNo0.99711$11.10
07:55:47BUYNo0.99821$21.23
03:38:45SELLNo0.99736$36.38
02:55:23BUYNo0.99822$22.37
02:41:08BUYNo0.99814$14.05
16:01:20BUYNo0.998149$148.70
16:01:20BUYNo0.998170$169.66