0xFE5b32537Ef196Dc509D437B0C499554949485e1-1764371241640
0xfe5b32537ef196dc509d437b0c499554949485e1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $65.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $934.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$517.34at 0.278Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
- +$266.75at 0.360SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
- +$213.16at 0.190US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$57.55at 0.689Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?
- +$22.08at 0.150Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 14:36 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0387358505 | $172.19 |
| 04-26 21:27 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1040950798 | $100.00 |
| 03-29 19:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4311028875 | $200.00 |
| 03-29 18:25 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | SELL | 0.84 | $109.44 |
| 03-29 18:21 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | SELL | 0.85 | $110.74 |
| 03-26 00:43 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? | BUY | 0.0179941519 | $20.00 |
| 03-26 00:41 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | BUY | 0.3159464021 | $30.00 |
| 03-26 00:40 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? | BUY | 0.0359947101 | $30.00 |
| 03-25 20:28 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 03-21 17:02 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | SELL | 0.82 | $50.11 |
| 03-20 02:33 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | SELL | 0.84 | $79.80 |
| 03-20 02:26 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | SELL | 0.84 | $116.66 |
| 03-08 12:09 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 03-08 12:09 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | BUY | 0.3184079602 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 12:05 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0308200357 | $20.00 |