RandomWalker3
0x9276d9f0044737c987f166c5dcb2d3f615dc37a3
- Realised P&L
- $-673.82
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $974.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.05at 0.123Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$59.00at 0.090Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
- +$28.91at 0.712Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
- +$20.46at 0.440Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$20.00at 0.126Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:27 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $23.72 |
| 09-13 18:07 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 09-13 18:07 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.17 |
| 09-13 18:02 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.1467919402 | $6.48 |
| 09-13 15:14 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0176239239 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 12:30 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 12:28 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.2899999985 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 14:18 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.38 |
| 09-09 15:50 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 22:23 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.1981502492 | $114.50 |
| 09-08 22:21 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0757281551 | $25.00 |
| 09-08 22:20 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 22:20 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.6256206548 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 19:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.2263779479 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 19:22 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $35.00 |