PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jcmiras

0xc04a5fba650066994b874e510a35aacf92838046

Realised P&L
$75.00
Volume
$111.3k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$876.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.025$163.43+$10.49
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.029$131.69$48.54
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1170.115$96.60$1.40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1780.160$95.70$10.94
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0750.097$81.52+$18.43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2080.221$67.91+$3.85
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1970.245$62.23+$12.31
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes0.0130.011$51.70$7.83
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026? · No0.8400.870$43.50+$1.50
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.2480.185$42.18$14.34
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0220.011$24.05$24.66
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.4220.065$9.21$50.59
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0440.003$6.48$107.52
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.4000.032$0.32$3.68
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2100.021$0.02$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 16:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.48$2.88
09-13 16:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.49$2.94
09-13 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.45$3.60
09-13 15:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.5$3.00
09-13 15:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-13 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSELL0.63$3.78
09-13 15:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.5$3.00
09-13 15:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.5$3.00
09-13 15:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.11$0.55
08-27 16:22Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0369922177$27.52
08-08 10:32Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.12$84.00
08-02 14:40Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.208$16.02
08-02 14:39Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.207$15.94
08-02 14:38Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.208$80.08
08-02 14:28Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?SELL0.015$0.18