Jcmiras
0xc04a5fba650066994b874e510a35aacf92838046
- Realised P&L
- $75.00
- Volume
- $111.3k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $876.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.98at 0.668Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
- +$27.68at 0.091Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$25.06at 0.041Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
- +$20.29at 0.063Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$15.50at 0.420Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 16:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 09-13 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 09-13 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $3.60 |
| 09-13 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 15:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $3.78 |
| 09-13 15:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 08-27 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0369922177 | $27.52 |
| 08-08 10:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $84.00 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.208 | $16.02 |
| 08-02 14:39 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.207 | $15.94 |
| 08-02 14:38 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.208 | $80.08 |
| 08-02 14:28 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.18 |