PolyBot

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Traders

px1

0x96120a6749ffd7e1c7619a67fa0389e16023205a

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$879.3k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8900.875$988.75$16.95
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.745$983.40$19.80
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.015$176.14+$51.59
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0230.011$137.79$154.79
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? · Yes0.0110.004$22.73$48.71
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0030.002$19.38$19.38
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? · Yes0.0290.011$5.50$9.50
Will MrBeast say "Wife" during his next YouTube video? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$120.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on July 18? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Down0.1120.000$0.00$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 7? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$55.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up0.0670.000$0.00$200.00
Will Gregor Kobel win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 20:24Will FC Zurich win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.9247619048$19.42
09-05 20:07Will FC Zurich win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.8222706541$100.00
09-05 19:52Will FC Zurich win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.4026231597$300.00
09-04 20:36Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.011$90.78
09-02 10:56NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.89$347.79
09-02 10:54NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.76$172.47
08-22 20:27Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-22?SELL0.77625$12.42
08-22 20:13Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.6781351276$200.00
08-22 20:08Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-22?SELL0.2201848361$119.12
08-22 19:54Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.3399999978$100.00
08-22 19:52Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.4050040478$100.00
08-22 18:43Will FC Zurich win on 2026-08-22?SELL0.54$92.76
08-22 18:39Will FC Zurich win on 2026-08-22?BUY0.5821382225$100.00
08-08 20:56Will FC Zurich win on 2026-08-09?BUY0.1719337278$100.00
08-07 06:47Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 7?BUY0.11$1.43