Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-09
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.35. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.34 to 0.48. 109 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.36	195	195
0.37	323	518
0.38	323	841
0.39	120	961
0.74	20	981
0.75	40	1,021
0.76	5	1,026
0.77	30	1,056
0.79	20	1,076
0.80	20	1,096
0.83	95	1,191
0.84	6	1,197

Spread0.02Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	571	571
0.33	1,101	1,672
0.32	317	1,989
0.31	155	2,144
0.29	11	2,155
0.27	13	2,168
0.20	35	2,203
0.19	42	2,245
0.17	59	2,304
0.03	13	2,317
0.02	307	2,623
0.01	1,015	3,638

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	571	571
0.67	1,101	1,672
0.68	317	1,989
0.69	155	2,144
0.71	11	2,155
0.73	13	2,168
0.80	35	2,203
0.81	42	2,245
0.83	59	2,304
0.97	13	2,317
0.98	307	2,623
0.99	1,015	3,638

Spread0.02Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.64	195	195
0.63	323	518
0.62	323	841
0.61	120	961
0.26	20	981
0.25	40	1,021
0.24	5	1,026
0.23	30	1,056
0.21	20	1,076
0.20	20	1,096
0.17	95	1,191
0.16	6	1,197

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	199.98
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	60
GuyFromTinder	Yes	51.16
0x9ff2…4ab5	Yes	25
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	25
0x11B53AF0db7d807e20c54420232099C11D608c02-1780728892156	Yes	20
Corlys	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	15
NEXTUP30	Yes	14.78
0xec20…1858	Yes	14.78
0x0a03…dd33	Yes	13.89
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794	Yes	11
0x0cb0…b5ed	Yes	5.56
0x2ba0…93fd	Yes	5.56
0x3394…f3db	Yes	5.56
0x4621…805c	Yes	5.56
0x46ea…0b42	Yes	5.56
0x663d…5bca	Yes	5.56
0xb4fc…9fcf	Yes	5.56
0xc255…70d2	Yes	5.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:52:02	SELL	Yes	0.34	0	$0.00
09:50:59	SELL	Yes	0.34	5	$1.70
09:49:11	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.80
06:19:20	SELL	Yes	0.34	6	$2.09
06:06:21	BUY	Yes	0.3599998314	3	$1.11
06:06:21	SELL	No	0.64	3	$1.96
05:40:39	SELL	Yes	0.34261	20	$6.85
05:36:08	BUY	No	0.45	20	$9.00
05:15:30	BUY	No	0.66	3	$1.98
05:15:29	SELL	Yes	0.35	3	$1.07
05:15:00	BUY	Yes	0.3599999208	6	$2.00
05:14:59	BUY	No	0.6499999025	3	$2.00
05:12:33	BUY	Yes	0.3599999208	6	$2.00
05:08:02	BUY	No	0.6499999025	3	$2.00
05:07:12	BUY	No	0.6499999025	3	$2.00
05:06:17	SELL	No	0.64	20	$12.80
05:06:15	SELL	No	0.64	5	$3.20
05:06:08	BUY	Yes	0.36	25	$9.00
02:02:42	SELL	No	0.63	2	$1.00
01:42:39	BUY	Yes	0.36	5	$1.66
01:40:54	SELL	No	0.64	8	$5.26
01:40:35	SELL	No	0.64	11	$7.04
01:40:30	SELL	No	0.65	11	$7.15
01:40:24	BUY	Yes	0.35	11	$3.85
20:29:35	SELL	Yes	0.34	1	$0.20