0x0a03b7a52ad4ab7871cef961c19604e01a9edd33
- Realised P&L
- $-86.60
- Volume
- $712.03
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $11.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · No | 0.720 | 0.715 | $4.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.330 | $4.58 | −$0.42 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.450 | 0.145 | $1.61 | −$3.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.42at 0.250Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$6.31at 0.342Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
- +$4.83at 0.430Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5
- +$4.81at 0.260Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$4.76at 0.320Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 11:52 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.7199998618 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:51 | Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:46 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 11:01 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 02:39 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999249 | $2.99 |
| 07-31 18:38 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999749 | $5.07 |
| 07-31 10:35 | Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999776 | $1.89 |
| 07-30 12:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999345 | $1.71 |
| 07-29 19:02 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.30 |
| 07-28 05:40 | Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.24 |
| 07-27 21:13 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.53 |
| 07-27 10:07 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999776 | $1.89 |
| 07-26 21:46 | Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.26 |
| 07-26 09:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7699999803 | $1.95 |