0x663ddcb16230f649462d49ab4b54006f05375bca
0x663ddcb16230f649462d49ab4b54006f05375bca
- Realised P&L
- $7.97
- Volume
- $356.10
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $9.73
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.625 | $2.31 | +$1.31 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.325 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.969 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.615 | $1.02 | +$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.785 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.730 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.655 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.215 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$6.63at 0.237Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$4.06at 0.330Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?
- +$3.08at 0.400Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:29 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:28 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 12:13 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 01:26 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 16:01 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 06:19 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:26 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:24 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |