PolyBot

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Traders

0x663ddcb16230f649462d49ab4b54006f05375bca

Realised P&L
$-3.51
Volume
$86.08
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$13.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5600.855$3.05+$1.05
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7900.915$2.32+$0.32
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · Yes0.2600.285$2.19+$0.19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.6700.705$2.10+$0.10
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · No0.5200.515$1.98$0.02
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.3600.330$1.83$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 06:40Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
08-05 22:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6699996951$2.00
08-04 14:20Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-04 06:19Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-03 22:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
08-03 14:17Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-03 06:02Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.59999994$2.00
08-02 21:54Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-02 13:51Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-02 05:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-01 20:53Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3099999364$2.00
08-01 20:53Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.77$2.00
08-01 12:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-01 04:08New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 20:08Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95