PolyBot

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Traders

0x339481ff87a79139c595caf3bedb5183f5c3f3db

Realised P&L
$-8.26
Volume
$111.60
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$8.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · Yes0.4500.485$2.16+$0.16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.4300.425$1.98$0.02
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.3600.330$1.83$0.17
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.2600.160$1.23$0.77
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2300.095$0.83$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 04:40Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-05 20:04Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-05 12:03Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-04 16:01Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-04 07:59Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-03 23:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-03 15:58Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.32$2.00
08-03 07:58Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in June?BUY0.295999929$2.00
08-02 23:27Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.68$2.00
08-02 15:27Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-02 07:22Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-01 23:01Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-01 13:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-01 04:12Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 20:11New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53