PolyBot

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Traders

0xb4fc4caddfcf21de9233d7d81e66eb1b67209fcf

Realised P&L
$0.53
Volume
$123.54
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$17.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · No0.5900.955$3.24+$1.24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6100.855$2.80+$0.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.3420.391$2.28+$0.28
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · No0.4600.515$2.24+$0.24
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.8000.835$2.09+$0.09
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6300.640$2.03+$0.03
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.3600.330$1.83$0.17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3200.135$0.84$1.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 08:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.3419999001$2.00
08-06 00:04Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-04 16:03Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-04 08:01Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-04 00:00Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6299999181$2.00
08-03 15:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.32$2.00
08-03 07:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-02 23:28Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-02 15:28Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-02 06:28Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
08-01 22:27Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-01 14:11Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 04:14Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 20:13Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 12:12New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53