0xb4fc4caddfcf21de9233d7d81e66eb1b67209fcf
0xb4fc4caddfcf21de9233d7d81e66eb1b67209fcf
- Realised P&L
- $8.46
- Volume
- $266.71
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $6.09
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.615 | $1.81 | +$0.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.835 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.280 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.239 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.675 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.145 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.45at 0.310US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
- +$3.72at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:37 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 06:05 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:26 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:05 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 11:44 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:46 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:28 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7789998567 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 01:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:25 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |