PolyBot

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Traders

0x2ba048e2bf993e3bba264ede5e0319cfde8a93fd

0x2ba048e2bf993e3bba264ede5e0319cfde8a93fd

Realised P&L
$-7.21
Volume
$234.14
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$5.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.2600.425$3.27+$1.27
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026? · Yes0.7500.845$2.12+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 02:26Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?BUY0.75$1.88
09-17 23:44Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-17 15:39Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7499999063$2.00
09-17 07:30S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17?BUY0.5$2.00
09-07 12:42Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
09-02 08:06Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?BUY0.71$2.00
09-01 19:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
09-01 11:17Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-23 16:06Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-23 05:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.8$2.00
08-22 09:22Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-20 23:14NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6739999016$2.00
08-20 15:12Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
08-20 05:49Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$2.00
08-19 20:40Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.6099999786$2.00