PolyBot

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Traders

0x46eaba1af843c48d0f30ccc5379cfe92c65d0b42

Realised P&L
$3.21
Volume
$79.09
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$13.08

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2600.575$4.42+$2.42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7600.815$2.14+$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · No0.5300.540$2.04+$0.04
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July? · Yes0.6200.605$1.95$0.05
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.3600.330$1.83$0.17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4500.145$0.64$1.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 00:30Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?BUY0.619999969$2.00
08-05 16:29Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-05 08:27Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
08-05 00:10Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-04 16:09Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-04 08:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-02 23:33Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
08-02 15:33Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.659999918$1.77
08-02 07:11US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4499999212$2.00
08-01 23:09Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7899999257$1.17
08-01 14:51Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-01 05:05Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.37$1.11
07-31 21:05Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 13:01Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.39$1.17
07-30 12:40Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.41$1.23