0x0cb0f3c5f3c95bb21ab779ce812a519c8fa5b5ed
- Realised P&L
- $12.18
- Volume
- $127.23
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $19.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.730 | 1.000 | $2.74 | +$0.74 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.785 | $2.57 | +$0.57 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.715 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.560 | $2.05 | +$0.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.730 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.350 | $1.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · No | 0.750 | 0.690 | $1.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.390 | $1.66 | −$0.34 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.190 | $1.58 | −$0.42 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.210 | 0.100 | $0.95 | −$1.05 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.320 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$1.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.00at 0.250Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?
- +$2.76at 0.420Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.87at 0.510Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.390Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.53at 0.570Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 08:04 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 00:04 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:03 | Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 00:01 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999664 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 16:01 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 08:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 23:56 | Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 15:52 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 06:56 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699996951 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:22 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 19:16 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 11:16 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |