PolyBot

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Traders

0xec200dcd4c37fb90a4c310025ded2d0cecb51858

Realised P&L
$-20.24
Volume
$334.12
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$15.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7700.905$6.25+$0.93
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.3600.330$4.88$0.44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.5500.295$2.85$2.47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.8000.145$0.88$3.98
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3600.085$0.26$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 14:20Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.6099999885$5.32
08-05 06:19S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.7799999971$5.32
08-04 22:18Will Trump say "No No No" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4099999784$5.32
08-04 14:18Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.3599999756$5.32
08-04 06:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7699999233$5.32
08-03 10:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.549999969$5.32
08-03 02:14Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.549999969$5.32
08-02 17:59Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4099999784$5.32
08-02 17:18Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.5379999988$5.32
08-02 07:50Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6599999628$5.32
08-01 23:19Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.3599998314$1.11
08-01 15:11Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7699999233$5.32
08-01 04:41New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$5.10
07-31 20:40Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$5.10
07-31 12:39Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?BUY0.48$1.80