NEXTUP30
0x94cf87a9f75c709500a9692b7f5d4b0b3b1a91a4
- Realised P&L
- $-80.90
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $6.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.330 | $4.88 | −$0.15 |
| Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.200 | $1.34 | −$1.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.73at 0.140Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$-0.01at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$-0.20at 0.510Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+6.5)
- +$-1.00at 0.150Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$-1.00at 0.050Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 09:30 | Will Bullish (BLSH) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 04:07 | Will Drew Campbell be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.41 |
| 08-05 03:36 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.07 |
| 08-04 21:08 | Will Giorgio Chiellini attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.06 |
| 08-04 19:21 | Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.35 |
| 08-04 15:02 | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 07-31 10:42 | Wisla Plock vs. Widzew Lodz: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $9.99 |
| 07-31 10:05 | Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+6.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 14:01 | Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 13:54 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.498 | $2.49 |
| 07-30 13:37 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.499 | $2.50 |